TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 9:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Misolic and Mika Brunold in the Tulln, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Misolic' if Filip Misolic advances against Mika Brunold. This market will resolve to 'Mika Brunold' if Mika Brunold advances against Filip Misolic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Misolic and Mika Brunold in the Tulln, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Misolic' if Filip Misolic advances against Mika Brunold. This market will resolve to 'Mika Brunold' if Mika Brunold advances against Filip Misolic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or insights not yet fully priced into the sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks over time, especially when there's strong public interest.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price indicates the market's assessment of each player’s chances of winning the match.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tulln match between Filip Misolic and Mika Brunold, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or changes in their rankings, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and move the market. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also play a role, though the market ultimately reflects the beliefs of those actively trading.