TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 8:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrej Martin and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Tulln, Austria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrej Martin' if Andrej Martin advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Andrej Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrej Martin and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Tulln, Austria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrej Martin' if Andrej Martin advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Andrej Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases, while this market relies on the aggregate predictions of informed traders. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value in either market. Keep in mind that prediction markets allow for continuous trading, meaning odds adjust dynamically based on new information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of participants. The current top outcome, as indicated by share price, is the most likely result according to the traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Andrej Martin versus Svyatoslav Gulin match as reported by a trusted source for tennis results. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of any potential delays or clarifications.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, head-to-head records, or even weather forecasts for the match location could also play a role. Major shifts in public opinion, driven by analysis from tennis experts or unexpected betting activity, could also cause the odds to fluctuate. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.