TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 12:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between Tulane and Kansas State. It focuses solely on the scoring dynamics of the opening quarter, ignoring the rest of the game. The outcome depends on whether Kansas State, Tulane, or neither team (in case of a tie) has the most points when the first quarter ends.
If Kansas St. wins the 1st quarter of the Tulane vs Kansas St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tulane wins the 1st quarter of the Tulane vs Kansas St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the Tulane vs Kansas St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence early trading in this market, and discrepancies can emerge due to differing opinions or information available to bettors and traders. It’s common to see convergence as the event draws nearer, but this market can offer a unique perspective compared to traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the first quarter winner. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, giving you insight into the current supply and demand for each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the first quarter winner of the Tulane vs Kansas State game will be used to determine the settlement. The result will be based on official game statistics and reporting from trusted sports news sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Tulane or Kansas State would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant public statements from coaches or players that reveal strategic intentions or confidence levels might move the market. Even broader factors, such as overall betting trends or large volume trades, can impact the price of contracts in this market.