TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 6:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Tulane and Duke. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that must be exceeded by either team during that quarter to determine the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the second quarter of the Tulane vs Duke college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. For any market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. All markets are independent, and each corresponds to a different point margin threshold for either Tulane or Duke.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often incorporating information and analysis not immediately available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market allows for real-time adjustments as new information emerges, such as injury reports or changes in team strategy. It’s common to see differences between the two, as prediction markets can sometimes identify mispriced opportunities that sportsbooks haven't yet accounted for. However, as game time approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second quarter of the Tulane vs Duke game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of college football. The market will determine which side of the spread – Tulane winning by more than the spread, or Duke covering – ultimately proved accurate. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any significant news regarding player injuries on either the Tulane or Duke teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also shift the market. Finally, as the game approaches, large bets placed by informed traders could trigger price fluctuations in this market.