TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 5:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds of points scored by both Tulane and Duke in the first quarter of their college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that bettors can wager on, reflecting expectations about the pace and offensive output of the game in its initial minutes.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Tulane and Duke collectively during the first quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold; if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored in the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each evaluating a distinct point total benchmark for the first quarter.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analysis, but this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in, incorporating diverse information and perspectives. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action, the continuous trading in this market provides a dynamic assessment of probabilities. It’s common to see differences emerge, as this market can quickly adapt to new information or changing sentiment about the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher total score, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations, driven by the informed opinions of participants.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total score of the first quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by the governing sports body. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances at that time. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses, as the first quarter’s score will directly determine the payout for this market.
Several factors could significantly impact the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Tulane or Duke would almost certainly cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for high-scoring play, could also influence trading activity. Even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators or analysts, if it deviates significantly from current expectations, could shift sentiment and move the market. Public betting patterns in sportsbooks might also have a ripple effect, as traders adjust their positions based on broader market trends.