TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Tulane Green Wave vs. South Florida Bulls
Volume:
$1,953,746
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Tulane Green Wave and South Florida Bulls scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), two spread variants (-14.5 and -15.5), and a total points over/under (155.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (South Florida win and Tulane win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), with no defined No condition. This makes the market unresolvable and represents a data integrity failure. Polymarket markets are logically consistent.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline until the platform issues a clarification or amendment. The Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and totals are all well-defined and resolvable using official NCAA.com final scores including overtime.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name; spreads resolve based on margin (South Florida -14.5 requires 15+ point win, -15.5 requires 16+ point win); totals resolve based on combined score (Over at 156+). All markets remain open if postponed, resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both 'If South Florida wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tulane wins... resolves to Yes' with no explicit No condition defined. This creates a tautology where all outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Key Quote: 'If South Florida wins the Tulane at South Florida men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tulane wins the Tulane at South Florida men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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