TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 8:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event measures the goal differential between Tucuman and Temperley in their professional Argentine Nacional B soccer match on July 25, 2026. It determines which team wins by how large a margin after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Resolution depends on the final goal differential in the Tucuman vs Temperley match on July 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Outcomes are structured around margin thresholds for each team: Tucuman outcomes resolve Yes if Tucuman wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals respectively, while Temperley outcomes resolve Yes if Temperley wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals respectively. For instance, a 3-0 Tucuman victory resolves Yes for both Tucuman spread outcomes, while a 2-0 Temperley win resolves Yes only for the Temperley 1.5-goal threshold.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and real-time data inputs. While sportsbooks set lines based on analytics and historical performance, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders on Kalshi may price in recent team form, injuries, or weather conditions faster than sportsbooks, creating potential discrepancies. Monitoring both can provide a broader perspective on market expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants set bids and asks based on their expectations for the outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate of trader sentiment and positions, with the chance percentage indicating the market’s implied probability. Volume and recent trading activity also influence price discovery on the platform.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match score and any adjustments, such as awarded goals or points, as reported by recognized sports authorities and news outlets.
Key signals include injury reports, coaching changes, or weather forecasts affecting match conditions. Strong recent performance from either team, shifts in betting volume on Kalshi, or media narratives could also sway trader sentiment. As Jul 26, 2026 approaches, any last-minute updates — like lineup announcements or tactical adjustments — may cause rapid price movements. Traders will watch these developments closely to anticipate direction in this market.