TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 12:40 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Austria Bundesliga game between TSV Hartberg and LASK Linz, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the TSV Hartberg vs. LASK Linz match originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Austria Bundesliga game between TSV Hartberg and LASK Linz, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the TSV Hartberg vs. LASK Linz match originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it's important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different fee structures and limitations, which can influence the odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market's price discovery process allows for a dynamic and real-time evaluation of potential outcomes, influenced by new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Austrian Bundesliga match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score at the end of regulation time will determine the winning outcome. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The resolution will be based on official sources and widely accepted sports data providers, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team formations could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match's conclusion.