TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SC Freiburg
Volume:
$1,066,540
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga match between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and SC Freiburg scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the three possible outcomes: Hoffenheim win, Freiburg win, or draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how game cancellation (with no makeup) resolves. Polymarket explicitly resolves Hoffenheim and Freiburg win markets to No, but the draw market to Yes. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation, creating ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Treat postponement and cancellation as separate scenarios. Postponement (with makeup game scheduled) keeps all markets open on both platforms. Outright cancellation triggers Polymarket's asymmetric resolution (draw Yes, wins No) but leaves Kalshi's outcome unclear. Request written confirmation from Kalshi on their cancellation protocol before the match date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Hoffenheim win (Yes if Hoffenheim wins, No otherwise including cancellation), Freiburg win (Yes if Freiburg wins, No otherwise including cancellation), and Draw (Yes if draw, Yes if canceled with no makeup, No otherwise). Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw market only).
- Kalshi: Three markets that all resolve Yes if their respective outcome occurs (Hoffenheim win, Tie, Freiburg win). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Logic implies resolution only upon game completion after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation handling is not documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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