TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910
Volume:
$1,353,730
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga match between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and FC St. Pauli 1910 scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket and Kalshi, each covering the three possible outcomes: Hoffenheim win, St. Pauli win, or draw. All markets reference the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms apply identical resolution logic: three mutually exclusive outcomes determined by official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga match records and on-field referee determinationCore resolution logic:
- Hoffenheim win resolves Yes on Polymarket Q1 and Kalshi Q3; resolves No on Polymarket Q6 and Kalshi Q2
- St. Pauli win resolves Yes on Polymarket Q6 and Kalshi Q2; resolves No on Polymarket Q1 and Kalshi Q3
- Draw resolves Yes on Polymarket Q4 and Kalshi Q1; resolves No on Polymarket Q1 and Q6
- Result determined by official score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only, excluding extra time and penalties
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, draw markets resolve Yes and win markets resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date. No early resolution occurs.
- Match Cancellation Without Rescheduling: Draw market (Polymarket Q4, Kalshi Q1) resolves Yes. Win markets (Polymarket Q1/Q6, Kalshi Q2/Q3) resolve No.
- Scope of Play: Resolution is based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes on February 28, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed. If canceled without rescheduling, resolution occurs when cancellation is officially confirmed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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