TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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All
Sports
Troy vs. Utah State
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Troy vs. Utah State?

Volume:
$1,189,690

Utah St.

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 10:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Utah St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$447,402
N/A
N/A
$305,727
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Troy vs. Utah State

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$229,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$73,642
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,748
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,318
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,697
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$542
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$103
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Troy

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$355,435
N/A
N/A
$210,839
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 46.5

0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 40.5

0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 48.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,022
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 50.5

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$807
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 44.5

0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$407
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 42.5

0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of various bets related to the college football game between Troy and Utah State on September 26th, aggregating data from Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the consensus probability of “Troy vs. Utah State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5” is 100.0%, with “Troy vs. Utah State: Game Goes to Overtime” also at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by the final game data reported on https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 26th, as the final score will dictate market settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers a broader range of markets and handles ties/cancellations, while Kalshi only resolves on a win/loss outcome.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket for markets beyond a simple win/loss, and be mindful of the tie/cancellation risk on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on final score, including overtime. Tie games resolve 50-50. Canceled games resolve 50-50. Offers markets for total points, team totals, and quarter-specific outcomes. "If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves only if either Troy or Utah State wins. Does not address ties or cancellations. "If Utah St. wins the Troy vs Utah St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Troy wins the Troy vs Utah St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Troy and Utah State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Troy" if Troy win the game. This market will resolve to "Utah State" if Utah State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for September 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different mechanisms driving price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders who can incorporate a wider range of information, including news, social sentiment, and even inside knowledge. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when information asymmetry is high. Furthermore, the incentive structure differs; prediction market traders profit directly from correct predictions, while sportsbooks profit from the spread.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors affecting the game could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.