TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential between Troy and Utah State in their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Troy vs Utah State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If Utah State wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any of the 'Utah State wins by over X points' markets, those markets resolve to Yes; otherwise, they resolve to No. Conversely, if Troy wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any of the 'Troy wins by over X points' markets, those markets resolve to Yes; otherwise, they resolve to No. For any game postponement, if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what is readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the likely outcome. This can lead to differences in the odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to significant developments, though both aim to accurately forecast the result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the final spread will fall within that range. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism, driven entirely by user activity.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Troy vs Utah State football game. The market will settle based on the actual point difference between the two teams at the end of the game, as reported by official sources. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on the established result of the sporting event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected team performance during other games could shift expectations. Weather forecasts also play a role, as inclement weather can impact scoring and game strategy. Public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns and media coverage, can also contribute to price movements. Major upsets in related college football games might also cause traders to reassess their predictions for this matchup.