TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various thresholds of points scored by both teams combined in the first half of a college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to speculate on how high-scoring the first half will be.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the Troy vs Utah State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined first-half points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored in the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches, with both sets of odds moving closer together as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 1st half total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that total occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific total, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving an indication of how much volume is available at each level. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final 1st half total score from the Troy vs Utah St. game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to 100 for the correct total, and 0 for all other totals. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final score as that will be the basis for the resolution of this market. Traders should review the event details to understand the specific conditions for resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Troy or Utah St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also influence trader behavior. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.