TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:03 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Troy and Utah State. Outcomes depend on whether the winning team achieves specific point margins during the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Troy vs Utah State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, with outcomes determined by whether Utah State or Troy achieves a winning margin exceeding that threshold in the first half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result of the first half. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting equitable settlement based on available information and circumstances at the time of cancellation.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the diverse opinions of individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has more efficient pricing. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, than sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Troy vs Utah St. spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific spread occurring. Buyers are expressing confidence in that outcome, while sellers are betting against it. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders reacting to news, analysis, and their own insights. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half spread of the Troy vs Utah St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final official result as reported by the governing sports organization. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will receive nothing. The final result will be publicly available after the game concludes.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Troy or Utah St. teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's style of play, could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in expert analysis and media coverage, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.