TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 10:41 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either team wins the final quarter of a college football game, focusing solely on points scored in that period. Each market has a different threshold for the point difference needed for a 'Yes' outcome.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Troy vs Missouri college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. Each market has a specific point-difference threshold: if Missouri's 4th-quarter point differential exceeds the specified value (ranging from 2.5 to 23.5 points), that market resolves to 'Yes.' Conversely, if Troy's 4th-quarter point differential exceeds certain thresholds (2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points), the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. No overtime points count toward any market resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular spread is likely, the price will move accordingly, potentially offering different value than what you might find at a sportsbook. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the fourth quarter of the Troy vs Missouri game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will determine whether the actual spread falls above or below the contract’s specified spread. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Troy or Missouri teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment as reflected in polls or analysis, could all contribute to fluctuations in the Troy vs Missouri spread. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential price movements.