TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Troy Trojans vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Volume:
$1,286,346
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Troy Trojans and Southern Miss Golden Eagles scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), over/under total points at 144.5, and point spreads at -4.5 and -5.5 for Troy.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Troy win and Southern Miss win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline and all spread/total markets use mutually exclusive resolution outcomes.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline market — it cannot be settled as written. Focus on Polymarket moneyline, over/under, and spread markets, which all use consistent logic: final score including overtime, postponement keeps market open, cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both Troy win and Southern Miss win outcomes. Quote: 'If Troy wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Southern Miss wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility in a binary market structure.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to 'Troy Trojans' if Troy wins or 'Southern Miss Golden Eagles' if Southern Miss wins. Quote: 'If the Troy Trojans win, the market will resolve to Troy Trojans. If the Southern Miss Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to Southern Miss Golden Eagles.' Mutually exclusive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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