TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 2:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This Europa League match between Tromsoe and Hradec Kralove is scheduled for July 23, 2026. Bettors can predict whether each team will score above various goal thresholds during the 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time. Own goals are credited to the team that benefits from them.
Resolution is based on regulation time performance, defined as 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Goals are counted for each team independently across three threshold levels. Own goals count toward the team awarded the goal credit. All goal tallies are final once the referee ends regulation play.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect real-money trader conviction and often incorporate analyst forecasts, team statistics, and injury reports faster than traditional polls. While sports analysts may rely on historical models and expert judgment, traders here face direct financial incentive to price outcomes accurately. Comparing this market's implied probability to published expert predictions can reveal where the crowd disagrees with consensus—sometimes signaling overlooked information, sometimes reflecting overconfidence. The gap between the two often narrows as event day approaches and new data emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares representing different team total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out based on the verified final regulation-time combined score, creating a direct financial incentive for accurate pricing. The bid-ask spread reflects uncertainty and trading activity; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and liquidity, while wider spreads suggest lower conviction or fewer active traders. Real-time price discovery happens as new information—lineups, weather, recent form—reaches the market.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the final regulation-time combined team score is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official result. No overtime or penalty shootout counts toward this market; only the 90 minutes of regulation time matter. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to see payouts quickly once the score is locked in.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to star players, weather conditions at kickoff, and recent form or head-to-head history. Betting market shifts and social media sentiment can also influence trader positioning. Late-breaking tactical changes or coaching decisions may shift expectations about pace and scoring. As the match begins, live action—early goals, red cards, or defensive dominance—will trigger sharp repricing. Pre-match press conferences and official team news typically generate the largest moves in the hours before kickoff.