TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 2:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This Europa League soccer match between Tromsoe and Hradec Kralove on July 23, 2026 will be evaluated based on the goal differential during regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). The outcome depends on which team wins and by how large a margin.
Resolution is determined by the final goal differential in regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties) of the Tromsoe vs Hradec Kralove Europa League match scheduled for July 23, 2026. Separate markets assess whether Tromsoe wins by more than 2.5 goals, Tromsoe wins by more than 1.5 goals, Hradec Kralove wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Hradec Kralove wins by more than 2.5 goals. Each market resolves independently based on the actual goal differential achieved during the specified time period.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market aggregates trader conviction on the regulation-time spread, which may differ from sportsbook pricing due to variations in market depth, information timing, and the absence of a built-in house edge in peer-to-peer prediction markets.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where buyers and sellers post bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. Traders profit by correctly predicting the regulation-time spread, and the current market price reflects the marginal trade—the last executed transaction. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the price adjusts dynamically to balance supply and demand across all active positions.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the Tromsoe versus Hradec Kralove match concludes and the final regulation-time score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the point spread between the two teams at the end of regulation play. Resolution occurs after official confirmation, ensuring accuracy and preventing disputes over the final tally.
Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form trends can shift trader expectations of the spread. As the match unfolds, live scoring updates and momentum swings will drive price movement. Pre-match analysis, expert commentary, and betting-market activity on related events may also influence how traders reassess the likely regulation-time differential in real time.