TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Tromsø IL and Vålerenga Fotball, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tromsø IL" if Tromsø IL score more goals than Vålerenga Fotball in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Tromsø IL and Vålerenga Fotball score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vålerenga Fotball" if Vålerenga Fotball score more goals than Tromsø IL in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Tromsø IL and Vålerenga Fotball, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tromsø IL" if Tromsø IL score more goals than Vålerenga Fotball in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Tromsø IL and Vålerenga Fotball score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vålerenga Fotball" if Vålerenga Fotball score more goals than Tromsø IL in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets price outcomes based on trader belief and capital allocation. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, less biased estimates because traders risk real money on accuracy rather than volume. However, sportsbooks may incorporate faster-moving information or specialized analytics. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines on the same matchup can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—Tromsø win, draw, or Vålerenga win in the second half—has its own share price, and the sum of all outcome probabilities equals 100 percent. As traders place orders, the pool adjusts prices algorithmically to maintain balance. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and increases price accuracy. The current odds reflect the latest consensus among active traders and update continuously until the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the second half of the Tromsø versus Vålerenga match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded during that half only—goals scored before halftime do not count. Resolution hinges on whether Tromsø scores more, Vålerenga scores more, or both teams score equally during the second 45 minutes. Polymarket will confirm the result and settle all shares accordingly once the match data is confirmed.
Several catalysts can shift odds before kickoff and during the first half. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers repricing. Betting syndicates and sharp traders may enter large positions based on proprietary analysis or insider information. Early first-half performance can also influence second-half expectations; if one team dominates the opening 45 minutes, traders may adjust their forecast for the second half accordingly. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates can all sway sentiment. Real-time trading activity itself creates momentum, as large orders can move prices and attract follow-on volume.