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2,633

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5

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Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball?

Volume:
$409,585

Tromsoe

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 2:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tromsoe

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$119,411
N/A
N/A
$68,562
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tromsø IL

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$89,545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Valerenga

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$77,759
N/A
N/A
$57,750
Settled
No
polymarket

Vålerenga Fotball

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$76,730
N/A
N/A
$57,829
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,529
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Eliteserien soccer match between Tromsø IL and Vålerenga Fotball scheduled for July 11, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: Tromsø win, draw, and Vålerenga win. The markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi differ in their treatment of game cancellation. Polymarket explicitly states the draw market resolves YES if canceled with no makeup, while Kalshi provides no cancellation guidance, creating potential settlement conflicts.Hero tip: Before trading, confirm with Kalshi whether a canceled match with no makeup resolves their tie market to YES (matching Polymarket) or to NO/void. This clarification is essential to avoid settlement disputes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all outcomes. Draw market uniquely resolves YES on cancellation: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' Win markets resolve NO on cancellation.
  • Kalshi: Three markets collectively covering all outcomes (Tromsoe wins, Valerenga wins, Tie). No explicit cancellation clause provided: 'If Tie is the result of the Tromsoe vs Valerenga professional Eliteserien soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.' Cancellation handling is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game, scheduled for Saturday, July 11, 2026 between Tromsø IL and Vålerenga Fotball.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Tromsoe vs Valerenga professional Eliteserien soccer game originally scheduled for July 11, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome—Tromsoe win, Valerenga win, or tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes based on the match result. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are often more efficient than traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate dispersed trader knowledge in real time, with no house margin baked into the odds. Sportsbooks set fixed lines and adjust them to manage liability; prediction markets instead let supply and demand determine prices continuously. This market's odds reflect live trader conviction rather than a bookmaker's risk model, making them a useful benchmark for spotting value or confirming consensus before placing a wager elsewhere.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can push prices apart even for identical outcomes. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different rule interpretations or settlement timelines, leading traders to price in extra risk premium on one venue. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but temporary spreads persist due to withdrawal delays, platform-specific incentives, or uneven information flow across communities.

Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp price moves in the days before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions at the venue can also shift trader sentiment. Late injury reports or surprise roster decisions typically cause the sharpest repricing. Additionally, any major shift in betting volume or whale-sized trades on either platform can cascade across both venues, so monitoring order flow and social chatter among prediction market communities helps you stay ahead of consensus shifts.