TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether FC Hradec Králové will win the UEFA Europa League match against Tromsø IL after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on July 23, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for a FC Hradec Králové win stands at 100.0% across Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi. The outcome will be resolved based on official match data and specific cancellation or postponement rules. Watch for the match result on July 23, 2026, as it will determine the market's resolution.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, July 23, 2026 between Tromsø IL and FC Hradec Králové.
Resolution is based on the final score of the Tromsoe vs Hradec Kralove Europa League match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each outcome—Tromsoe win, Hradec Kralove win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for July 23, 2026, 17:00 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and liquidity pools, which naturally produces price variation. Kalshi and Limitless may also settle contracts using slightly different event definitions or timing windows, creating arbitrage opportunities. Platform-specific UI design and promotional activity can shift participation patterns, moving odds in either direction. These gaps typically narrow as the event approaches and information becomes more widely available, but they persist because traders on each venue operate independently.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or managerial decisions can shift trader positioning significantly. Recent performance streaks, head-to-head history, and weather conditions at kickoff all influence confidence in either side. Major roster moves or unexpected absences announced shortly before the match often trigger sharp price moves. Betting syndicates and sharp traders may also accumulate positions based on proprietary analysis, creating volume spikes. As the match date approaches, late-breaking team news typically drives the most volatile repricing.