TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:05 PM EST
Kalshi
In a professional league match, two teams contest a game where a win, loss, or tie determines the resolution of their respective outcome markets.
The event involves a professional soccer match where three possible outcomes are considered: a win for the first team, a win for the second team, or a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that specific result occurs. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. The match does not include extra time or penalty shootouts in determining the outcomes; only the result after regular time matters.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders rather than set benchmarks. In this market, the probability implied by trader activity can diverge from sportsbook odds, which are influenced by factors like bookmaker margins and broader public betting patterns. Monitoring both can provide a richer view of expected outcomes and potential value opportunities.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official match conclusion, and the market will close based on that verified score or result. Timing aligns with the real-world game schedule, ensuring a clear and timely settlement for all participants.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, or weather conditions could shift trader expectations and move this market. High-profile performances, recent form, and head-to-head history may also influence odds as the match approaches. Any news impacting either team's likelihood of success can cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi before resolution.