TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Türkiye and United States, scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye score more goals than United States in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Türkiye and United States score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "United States" if United States score more goals than Türkiye in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Türkiye and United States, scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye score more goals than United States in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Türkiye and United States score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "United States" if United States score more goals than Türkiye in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Polymarket, the Türkiye vs. United States second half result is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a bid-ask spread reflecting current supply and demand; the midpoint approximates the market's implied probability. Prices update in real time as new orders execute. Traders profit by correctly predicting the second half result, and prices naturally gravitate toward higher levels for outcomes the crowd believes are more likely. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how quickly prices respond to new information.
The market resolves on Jun 26, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final score and result of the second half of the Türkiye vs. United States match. The outcome reflects what actually occurs in play during the second 45 minutes, including any injury time. Once the match concludes and the official result is confirmed, the market settles according to the predetermined outcome criteria. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements before kickoff, which shift expectations for second half performance. First half scoreline and momentum heavily influence second half odds; a team trailing may be priced higher if they show attacking intent. In-game events such as red cards, injuries to key players, or tactical substitutions during the first half will move prices significantly. Weather conditions, crowd energy, and halftime adjustments also matter. Close to match time, any official updates on player availability or team news can trigger sharp repricing on Polymarket.