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Türkiye vs. United States - Halftime Result
predict
polymarket
kalshi

Türkiye vs. United States - Halftime Result

Volume:
$1,006,885

Türkiye

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Predict

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 10:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Türkiye

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$142,186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

TUR

View
N/A
N/A
—
$28,342
$25,891
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Turkiye wins 1H 3-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,429
N/A
N/A
$4,429
Settled
No
kalshi

Turkiye wins 1H 2-1

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,499
N/A
N/A
$23,723
Settled
Yes
polymarket

United States

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$219,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

USA

View
N/A
N/A
—
$571
$50,604
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 1H 3-2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,946
N/A
N/A
$16,972
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113,925
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
N/A
N/A
—
$316
$49,447
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw 1H 1-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,440
N/A
N/A
$22,528
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 1H 2-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$71,734
N/A
N/A
$66,790
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 1H 2-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55,330
N/A
N/A
$41,202
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 1H 3-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,791
N/A
N/A
$36,219
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 1H 1-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,032
N/A
N/A
$31,849
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 1H 3-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,198
N/A
N/A
$25,066
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw 1H 2-2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,660
N/A
N/A
$19,095
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw 1H 0-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,586
N/A
N/A
$18,776
Settled
No
kalshi

Turkiye wins 1H 2-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,275
N/A
N/A
$19,807
Settled
No
kalshi

Turkiye wins 1H 3-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,356
N/A
N/A
$13,444
Settled
No
kalshi

Turkiye wins 1H 1-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,522
N/A
N/A
$11,803
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This event group covers halftime results for the FIFA World Cup match between Türkiye and United States scheduled for June 25, 2026. Three markets track whether Türkiye leads, the United States leads, or the match is drawn at the end of the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is fundamentally incompatible with Predict and Polymarket. Kalshi lists 14 specific halftime scores that resolve YES, but omits high-scoring scenarios (3-2, 4-0, etc.), creating logical ambiguity. Predict and Polymarket use three independent conditional binary markets (TUR win, USA win, draw), each with clear YES/NO logic tied to a single outcome.Hero tip: Do not cross-trade these markets as if they are equivalent. Kalshi's incomplete score enumeration creates unhedgeable risk: if halftime ends 3-2 TUR, Kalshi's resolution is undefined, while Predict/Polymarket would clearly resolve TUR=YES, USA=NO, Draw=NO. Request Kalshi clarification on all unlisted score outcomes before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Three separate binary markets: (1) Draw at halftime = YES iff score is tied; (2) TUR leading = YES iff Türkiye ahead; (3) USA leading = YES iff United States ahead. All others resolve NO. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup: Draw=YES, TUR=NO, USA=NO. Resolution source: official governing body statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus.
  • Polymarket: Identical structure to Predict: three conditional binary markets for Draw, TUR leading, and USA leading at halftime. Same postponement/cancellation rules and 24-hour official source requirement.
  • Kalshi: Single market with 14 enumerated halftime scores that resolve YES: 0-0, 1-0 TUR, 0-1 USA, 1-1, 2-0 TUR, 0-2 USA, 2-1 TUR, 1-2 USA, 2-2, 3-0 TUR, 0-3 USA, 3-1 TUR, 1-3 USA, 2-3 TUR. Resolution logic for unlisted scores (3-2, 4-0, 4-1, etc.) is NOT specified. No explicit postponement or cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Türkiye and United States, scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the halftime score of the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup match at the end of the first half. All possible halftime score outcomes are covered, including draws (0-0, 1-1, 2-2), USA leads ranging from 1-0 to 3-2, and Turkiye leads ranging from 1-0 to 3-1. Each specific scoreline at the 45-minute mark represents a distinct resolution outcome, allowing bettors to predict the precise halftime result of the match.

Predict

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Türkiye and United States, scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard aggregates halftime result predictions for the Türkiye vs. United States match across Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays real-time odds, historical price movements, and consensus probability estimates for each possible halftime outcome. By tracking both platforms simultaneously, the dashboard reveals which outcome traders favor and how conviction shifts as match day approaches. Current aggregate volume reflects active trader interest, while the cross-platform view helps identify consensus or divergence between decentralized and traditional prediction venues.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket and Kalshi are set by trader consensus rather than oddsmakers, often reflecting sharper or more volatile sentiment. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance liability and lock in margin, while prediction markets respond directly to supply and demand. For this halftime matchup, prediction market prices may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow, trader sophistication, and liquidity depth. Comparing the two reveals whether professional or retail sentiment dominates each venue.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price differences between Polymarket and Kalshi arise from distinct user bases, liquidity pools, fee structures, and settlement confidence. Polymarket may attract different trader demographics or risk appetites than Kalshi, leading to divergent probability estimates for the same halftime outcome. Arbitrage opportunities and platform-specific friction costs also influence spreads. Monitoring both venues reveals which market is pricing the event more efficiently and where informed traders are concentrating capital.

Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements that shift perceived halftime advantage. Pre-match analysis, expert predictions, and betting syndicates entering the market can drive rapid repricing. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates may influence trader conviction. As match day approaches, social media sentiment, final odds movements from sportsbooks, and large trader positions can create volatility. The halftime market typically tightens significantly in the hours before kickoff as information becomes more concrete.