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$134.1b

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$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

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$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Türkiye vs. United States - Exact Score
predict
polymarket
kalshi

Türkiye vs. United States - Exact Score

Volume:
$8,716,485

Turkiye wins 3-2

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 12:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Turkiye wins 3-2

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$518,304
N/A
N/A
$404,391
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Exact Score: 3-2

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$112,944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

TUR 3 - 2 USA

View
N/A
N/A
—
$14,413
$68,609
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw 2-2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$693,861
N/A
N/A
$344,140
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Score: 2-2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$220,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

TUR 2 - 2 USA

View
N/A
N/A
—
$966
$120,084
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 2-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$537,351
N/A
N/A
$474,744
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Score: 1-2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202,567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

TUR 1 - 2 USA

View
N/A
N/A
—
$272
$70,080
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 2-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$487,954
N/A
N/A
$454,042
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Score: 0-2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$132,637
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

TUR 0 - 2 USA

View
N/A
N/A
—
$365
$44,132
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 3-2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$483,355
N/A
N/A
$342,729
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Score: 1-3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$198,368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

TUR 1 - 3 USA

View
N/A
N/A
—
$780
$51,548
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 3-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$390,761
N/A
N/A
$315,061
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Score: 2-3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$132,333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

TUR 2 - 3 USA

View
N/A
N/A
—
$320
$26,211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 3-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$361,133
N/A
N/A
$327,507
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Score: 0-3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$129,616
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

TUR 0 - 3 USA

View
N/A
N/A
—
$348
$31,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 4-2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$254,083
N/A
N/A
$153,804
Settled
No
kalshi

Turkiye wins 2-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$239,305
N/A
N/A
$182,033
Settled
No
predict

TUR 2 - 1 USA

View
N/A
N/A
—
$348
$121,597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Score: 2-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Intro

This market tracks the exact final score of the FIFA World Cup match between Türkiye and United States on June 25, 2026. Across Predict, Polymarket, and Kalshi, the consensus probability for a 2-2 draw stands at 38.0%, with a 2-2 scoreline also appearing as a secondary outcome at 32.5%. Resolution will be determined by official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, based on the result after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. Watch for the match kickoff on June 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, after which the final score will be confirmed for settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Predict and Polymarket offer comprehensive exact-score markets with a catch-all "Any Other Score" option, while Kalshi provides only 27 specific binary markets without a catch-all mechanism, creating incomplete coverage on Kalshi.Hero tip: On Predict and Polymarket, all possible outcomes are covered: either one of the 18 listed scores resolves to Yes, or "Any Other Score" captures any unlisted result. On Kalshi, only 27 specific scores are covered; any score outside this set leaves no resolution path. Before trading Kalshi, confirm whether unlisted scores default to No or trigger a different resolution mechanism.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Comprehensive exact-score market with 18 specific outcomes (0-0 through 3-3 range) plus "Any Other Score" catch-all. Resolution uses official governing body statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if unavailable. Postponed matches remain open; canceled matches with no makeup resolve to 0-0.
  • Polymarket: Identical structure to Predict: 18 specific exact-score outcomes plus "Any Other Score" catch-all. Same resolution source hierarchy (official statistics within 2 hours, then credible reporting consensus). Same postponement and cancellation rules.
  • Kalshi: Binary markets for 27 specific scorelines only (including higher-scoring outcomes like 4-0, 4-1, 4-2, 4-3, 5-0, 5-1, 5-2). No catch-all option. Each market resolves independently to Yes if that exact score occurs; no explicit guidance on resolution for scores outside the 27 listed outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Türkiye and United States, scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Türkiye vs. United States match originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final score of the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. All possible correct score outcomes are covered, including draws (0-0, 1-1, 2-2, 3-3), USA victories ranging from 1-0 to 5-2, and Turkiye victories ranging from 1-0 to 4-3. Each specific scoreline represents a distinct resolution outcome, allowing bettors to predict the precise final result of the match.

Predict

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Türkiye and United States, scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Türkiye vs. United States match originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for the exact final score of the Türkiye versus United States match across Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays the leading outcome prediction, current implied probability, and cross-platform consensus on which scoreline traders believe most likely. By tracking volume and price movement across multiple prediction markets simultaneously, the dashboard reveals how professional and retail traders are positioning ahead of the match, offering a dynamic alternative to traditional sportsbook odds.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on decentralized or peer-to-peer trading models, allowing participants to buy and sell shares tied to specific outcomes. Unlike sportsbooks, which set fixed odds and manage liability, prediction markets reflect real-time consensus prices determined by supply and demand. This often results in sharper, more responsive odds that adjust faster to breaking news, team news, or injury reports. However, prediction market liquidity for niche outcomes like exact scores may be lower than major sportsbooks, potentially creating wider bid-ask spreads.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates with different user bases, fee structures, and liquidity pools, which can cause temporary price divergence. Polymarket may attract traders focused on soccer exact-score betting, while Kalshi may draw a broader or more casual audience. Differences in order flow, withdrawal policies, and market-maker participation also influence pricing. Additionally, each platform's resolution criteria and dispute-handling processes may be perceived differently by traders, leading some to demand a risk premium on one venue over another. These gaps typically narrow as informed traders arbitrage between platforms.

Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts by either coach. Recent form, head-to-head records, and performance in qualifying rounds can shift trader sentiment on likely scorelines. International break results, player fitness updates, and any pre-match controversies may also influence odds. Weather conditions on match day and venue factors can impact expected goal totals and thus the distribution of exact-score probabilities. Trading volume and sharp money inflows often signal shifting consensus as the match approaches, making the dashboard a real-time barometer of market conviction.