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404,028
Markets across
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events
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Closed: Sep 28, 6:40 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Türkiye and Italy, scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye score more goals than Italy in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Türkiye and Italy score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy score more goals than Türkiye in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Türkiye and Italy, scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye score more goals than Italy in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Türkiye and Italy score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy score more goals than Türkiye in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it might indicate differing beliefs about the likelihood of various results or differing levels of information available to each group. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the second half of the Türkiye vs. Italy match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which result occurred during the second half of the game – a win for Türkiye, a win for Italy, or a draw. The platform will then verify the official result and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could influence this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Türkiye or Italy would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, real-time updates during the first half of the match – such as goals scored, red cards issued, or significant changes in momentum – would almost certainly lead to substantial price movements in this market as traders react to the evolving game state.