TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 6:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether over or under 0.5 goals will be scored in the Türkiye versus France UEFA Nations League match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the “Türkiye vs. France: O/U 0.5” outcome. Resolution will be based on the official result reported on the UEFA website: https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 25th at 2:45 PM ET, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 25 at 2:45 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring profit regardless of the outcome, and may be influenced by promotional considerations. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the result. As a result, you may see differences in implied probabilities, with Polymarket potentially offering odds that more closely align with the true likelihood of various outcomes as perceived by informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, signaling growing confidence in that particular result. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic process creates a market-driven forecast, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Türkiye vs. France match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then determine the winning shares and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled and their positions finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 25, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location, or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators, might also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential market participants could create short-term price movements, reflecting a sudden change in perceived probability.