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406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
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Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 6:49 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Türkiye and France, scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "France" if France are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Türkiye and France, scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "France" if France are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but volume in this market suggests a more balanced expectation, it could indicate a disagreement between bettors and prediction market participants. Examining these discrepancies can be insightful for both types of traders.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team—Türkiye or France—scores the first goal in the match. Official match data will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the settled result of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from analysts could also sway traders' opinions. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by social media trends or expert predictions, might lead to increased volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals closely could provide valuable insights into potential market movements before Sep 25, 2026.