TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 6:49 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Türkiye and France, scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Türkiye vs. France match originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Türkiye and France, scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Türkiye vs. France match originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the smaller scale of this market compared to major sportsbooks. It’s common to see initial differences that narrow as the event date nears and more traders participate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different possible exact scores. The price of each share reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief of the traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders expressing their views on the likelihood of each exact score. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Türkiye vs. France match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified score. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Türkiye or France national teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Major tactical announcements from either coach, or changes in expected starting lineups, could also impact the market. Additionally, general shifts in public sentiment, fueled by media coverage or expert analysis, could drive trading volume and price changes. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also be a catalyst for movement.