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Türkiye vs. France
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Türkiye vs. France?

Volume:
$7,686,040

France

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 4:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

France

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,960,749
N/A
N/A
$2,508,715
Settled
Yes
polymarket

France

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,480,779
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

FRA

View
99%
28%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$18,377
$259,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

TUR

View
1%
11%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$371
$53,343
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Türkiye

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$803,899
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Turkiye

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$694,399
N/A
N/A
$480,590
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
18%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$155
$28,482
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$330,266
N/A
N/A
$203,267
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Türkiye vs. France)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Türkiye and France, scheduled for September 25, 2026, asking which team will win within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of France winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market will be official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA). Keep an eye on the match itself on September 25, 2026, to see if this consensus holds as the game progresses.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same core event outcome (Türkiye win, France win, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and share a similar hierarchy of resolution sources.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the match is canceled without a rescheduled game, Türkiye/France win markets resolve to 'No', and the draw market resolves to 'Yes' on Polymarket/Predict. Kalshi resolves the draw market to 'Yes' in case of cancellation.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official results are available, but no later than 24 hours after the event's conclusion. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, September 25, 2026 between Türkiye and France.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Turkiye vs France professional UEFA Nations League soccer game scheduled for September 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for either Turkiye or France occurs only if that respective team secures a victory within regular time. If the match concludes with an equal scoreline at the end of regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, September 25, 2026 between Türkiye and France.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Türkiye vs. France match from multiple platforms, currently Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of the probabilities for various outcomes, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders. Total volume across these platforms is $7,686,040, with $7,171,023 traded in the last 24 hours. By tracking these markets, you can see how expectations evolve leading up to the event and compare the predictions from different forecasting communities. The dashboard aims to offer a comprehensive overview of the potential results of the Türkiye vs. France match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the Türkiye vs. France match outcome. Consequently, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in the participants. However, both types of odds aim to accurately predict the probability of an event, and comparing them can provide valuable insights for informed decision-making.