TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 1:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Türkiye wins by 2 or more goals against USA during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 26, 2026, 02:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 26, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if Türkiye wins by 2 or more goals against USA during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 26, 2026, 02:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 26, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds on Limitless often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed odds set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and manage liability, while prediction markets aggregate thousands of individual trader beliefs into a continuous price. For this Türkiye vs USA matchup, comparing Limitless odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less bullish on a 2-goal Turkish victory than professional bookmakers. These differences can highlight value opportunities or consensus shifts in market expectations.
On Limitless, this outcome is priced according to the aggregate probability that traders assign to Türkiye winning by exactly 2 goals or more. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the balance of buy and sell orders; as more traders believe in a decisive Turkish victory, the price rises, and vice versa. Limitless uses a continuous order-book model where your entry and exit prices depend on real-time liquidity and competing orders. The spread between bid and ask prices tightens as the market matures and volume increases closer to the match on Jun 27, 2026.
The market resolves on Jun 27, 2026, following the conclusion of the Türkiye vs USA match. Resolution is determined by the final score: if Türkiye wins by 2 or more goals, the outcome resolves affirmatively; any other result (Turkish loss, draw, or 1-goal Turkish win) resolves negatively. The official match result from the governing football authority is used to settle all positions. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form in qualifying matches. Tactical shifts, coaching changes, or public statements from either camp can shift trader sentiment. International friendly results and head-to-head history may influence confidence in a decisive Turkish victory. As match day approaches, weather conditions, venue factors, and betting-market activity can amplify price swings. Late-breaking injury reports or unexpected roster decisions in the final days before Jun 27, 2026 often trigger sharp repricing as traders reassess the probability of a 2-goal margin.