TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 7:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Türkiye and Paraguay (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 20, 2026, 03:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 20, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Türkiye and Paraguay (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 20, 2026, 03:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 20, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that Türkiye and Paraguay will receive 4 or more combined yellow and red cards. The price moves based on order flow, trader conviction, and incoming match intelligence such as team news, referee assignment, and historical card data for both squads. Traders buy YES if they expect a high-card match driven by aggressive play or a contentious referee, and sell if they anticipate a cleaner game. The continuous pricing mechanism on Limitless allows positions to be entered and exited at any time before market resolution on Jun 21, 2026.
The market resolves on Jun 21, 2026, after the final whistle of the Türkiye vs. Paraguay match. Resolution is determined by the official card count recorded by the match referee and confirmed by the relevant football governing body. The outcome is YES if the combined total of yellow and red cards issued to both teams reaches 4 or more; otherwise it resolves NO. Once the match concludes and official statistics are published, the market settles automatically based on the verified card tally.
Key catalysts include referee assignment announcements, which signal strictness or leniency in card distribution. Team news—injuries to key defenders or suspensions—can shift playing style and aggression levels. Historical head-to-head data and recent disciplinary records for both squads influence trader expectations. Pre-match analysis from football media about tactical intensity and rivalry dynamics will move the market. As kickoff approaches, live match developments such as early fouls, confrontations, or a goal swing the probability sharply. Trader sentiment about whether the match will be competitive or one-sided also drives repricing before and during play.