TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 10:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Trinidad and Tobago and the Dominican Republic, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential between Trinidad and Tobago and the Dominican Republic in their scheduled CONCACAF Nations League match on September 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcomes are possible: Trinidad and Tobago winning by more than 2.5 goals, Trinidad and Tobago winning by more than 1.5 goals, Dominican Republic winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Dominican Republic winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome corresponds to a specific market resolving to 'Yes,' with all markets resolving to 'No' if none of these conditions are met. The rules explicitly exclude extra time and penalty phases from consideration. Additionally, Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance betting action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's a valuable comparison for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Trinidad and Tobago vs Dominican Republic match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual outcome. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of the spread being realized.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Trinidad and Tobago vs Dominican Republic match will be determined by the official result reported by the governing sports authority. The market will settle based on whether the actual spread exceeds or falls below the contract price at the time of resolution. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Trinidad and Tobago or Dominican Republic teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or internal conflicts could affect trader sentiment. Public opinion shifts, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.