TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 2:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Trier and Leipzig, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regular time. It examines different thresholds for how many goals each team must win by to satisfy the conditions. The event is part of the DFB Pokal tournament and only considers the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple winning-margin scenarios for the Trier vs Leipzig DFB Pokal match scheduled for August 22, 2026, considering only regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). Four distinct primary rules define specific goal-difference thresholds for resolution: Trier winning by more than 2.5 goals, Trier winning by more than 1.5 goals, Leipzig winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Leipzig winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any of these conditions, if met, will resolve the associated market to 'Yes'. The rules explicitly clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The structure allows for multiple simultaneous resolution paths based on the final score differential.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after 90 minutes of regulation time will determine whether Leipzig covers the spread, and the market will settle based on that official result.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 22, 2026. Major injuries to key players, tactical changes by coaches, or weather disruptions might alter expectations for the spread outcome. Momentum swings during early match play, referee decisions, and substitution impacts often drive rapid price adjustments on Kalshi. News about team form or motivational factors could also influence trader behavior. Any event that changes the perceived likelihood of Leipzig covering the spread will likely move this market.