TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 2:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Tre Fiori FC and Larne FC, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tre Fiori FC" if Tre Fiori FC score more goals than Larne FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Tre Fiori FC and Larne FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Larne FC" if Larne FC score more goals than Tre Fiori FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Tre Fiori FC and Larne FC, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tre Fiori FC" if Tre Fiori FC score more goals than Larne FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Tre Fiori FC and Larne FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Larne FC" if Larne FC score more goals than Tre Fiori FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader conviction and information flow. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than what you'd find at a conventional sports betting site, particularly as new developments emerge closer to the match. Comparing both can reveal where smart money is positioning itself.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the aggregate belief of all active participants, updated continuously as new trades execute. Prices move in response to breaking news, team updates, or shifts in trader confidence, so the odds you see represent a real-time consensus rather than a static line. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the second half result is verifiable from credible public reporting of the match. The resolution will reflect which team won the second half period specifically, not the full-match result. Once the event concludes and the official result is documented, the market will settle and traders' positions will be finalized based on the verified outcome.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly before the match begins. Pre-match analysis, recent form, and head-to-head records may also influence trader positioning. During the first half, the scoreline and momentum could reshape expectations for the second half, prompting repricing as traders adjust their forecasts. Weather conditions, referee assignments, or last-minute tactical announcements may trigger additional movement. Close to kickoff, final betting syndicates and sharp money often flow into the market, reflecting informed conviction.