TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 2:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Tre Fiori FC and Larne FC, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC match originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Tre Fiori FC and Larne FC, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC match originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show materially different probabilities than major sportsbooks, especially for less-obvious exact scores. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's conviction differs from bookmaker pricing, though both sources offer valuable perspective on match likelihood.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares representing each possible exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost of a share reflects the market's collective estimate of that result's probability, with prices adjusting in real time as new trades execute. Outcomes with higher perceived likelihood trade at higher prices, while less-favored scores trade lower. This continuous price discovery mechanism means odds can shift rapidly if major news or analysis changes trader sentiment about the match.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Tre Fiori versus Larne match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals each team scores during the match. Traders holding shares in the correct final score receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly, as can recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day. Betting market activity and expert analysis published before kickoff often influence prediction market prices as traders incorporate fresh information. Late-breaking tactical announcements or unexpected roster decisions may trigger sharp moves. Additionally, any shift in public perception about either team's attacking or defensive strength can reshape the probability distribution across exact-score outcomes.