TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 125M
- Kalshi
Above 125M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 4, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jul 4, 2:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks Travis Scott's worldwide streaming performance during the week of June 26 - July 02, 2026. Streaming data is collected from Luminate Data, LLC and published approximately 48 hours after the tracking period ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Travis Scott's total worldwide streams during the June 26 - July 02, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data, LLC. Each outcome corresponds to a specific streaming threshold, with resolution occurring if streams exceed the designated level. Data publication occurs approximately 48 hours after the tracking period concludes. Luminate Data, LLC serves as a neutral provider of market metrics and does not endorse, verify, or participate in prediction market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on streaming outcomes, whereas analyst forecasts typically rely on historical data and industry models. This market aggregates dispersed information from participants with direct knowledge or strong conviction, often capturing shifts in sentiment faster than traditional forecasts. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees upside or downside risk relative to published analyst expectations, making it a useful cross-check for understanding where consensus may be overconfident or undervaluing certain catalysts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the implied probability that the weekly stream count will meet or exceed the specified threshold by the resolution date. As new information emerges or trading interest shifts, the bid-ask spread tightens or widens, and the midpoint price moves to equilibrate supply and demand among participants.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting verified streaming data. The resolution hinges on whether actual weekly streams fall above or below the specified threshold for the relevant week. Once the data is finalized and publicly available, the market settles and traders' positions are paid out according to the correct outcome.
Major catalog announcements, surprise album or single drops, and high-profile playlist placements on Spotify or Apple Music can drive significant shifts in this market. Chart performance, award nominations, and tour announcements may also influence trader expectations around streaming velocity. Additionally, broader trends in hip-hop consumption, seasonal listening patterns, and competitive releases from other artists can reshape the probability baked into the odds as traders reassess the likelihood of hitting the weekly stream target.
