TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 10:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Scottie Scheffler will finish in the top 10 positions, including ties, at the 2026 Travelers Championship. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution is determined by official results from the 2026 Travelers Championship. Watch for the tournament conclusion on July 12, 2026, when final leaderboard standings will determine whether Scheffler achieves a top 10 finish.
Each market resolves Yes if the specified golfer finishes in the top 10 (including ties) at the 2026 Travelers Championship. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or fails to participate before teeing off, the market resolves to Fair Market Price. If a golfer withdraws after beginning play, the market resolves to No. Ties are included in the top 10 determination.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. This market may price certain golfers differently than major sportsbooks, particularly for mid-tier contenders where sharp bettors and casual traders disagree. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value that bookmakers have overlooked.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, following the conclusion of the Travelers Championship. The outcome is determined by the final leaderboard and verified against credible public sources covering professional golf. Once the tournament is complete and official results are published, the market will settle based on which players finished in the top 10 positions. Contracts for golfers who achieve a top-10 finish will be worth 100 cents; all others expire worthless.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before the tournament begins and during play. Recent PGA Tour results, player injuries or withdrawals, course conditions, and weather forecasts all influence trader sentiment. Major announcements about field composition or changes to tournament format can trigger sharp repricing. During the event itself, live leaderboard movement—particularly when favorites stumble or underdogs surge—typically drives significant volume and volatility. Betting syndicates and sharp traders often react quickly to these developments, moving odds to reflect new information.