TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 9:59 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether any golfer will shoot an exceptionally low score during the third round of the 2026 Travelers Championship. Each market represents a progressively lower scoring threshold, from under 65.5 strokes down to under 59.5 strokes, reflecting increasingly rare and impressive performances on the course.
Resolution across all markets depends on whether any golfer achieves a round score below the specified threshold during Round 3 of the 2026 Travelers Championship. Each market establishes a distinct scoring benchmark: under 65.5, under 64.5, under 63.5, under 62.5, under 61.5, under 60.5, or under 59.5 strokes. For any score to qualify for resolution purposes, the golfer must complete all 18 holes in an official regulation round. A Yes resolution occurs if any eligible golfer records a score meeting or exceeding the specified threshold for that particular market. The markets are independent; achievement of a lower threshold does not automatically resolve higher thresholds, though logically a score below 59.5 would satisfy all thresholds. All scores must be official PGA records from the designated tournament round.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders here may react faster to breaking news, injury reports, or weather updates than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion on the lowest Round 3 score differs from professional oddsmakers, though both reflect genuine uncertainty about tournament outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes for the lowest Round 3 score. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective confidence of active traders, with higher prices indicating stronger belief that outcome will occur. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, and wider bid-ask spreads may appear during low-activity periods.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once the Travelers Championship Round 3 concludes and the lowest score is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual lowest single-round score posted by any competitor during that round. Resolution occurs after official scoring is confirmed and any potential corrections or appeals are resolved through standard tournament procedures.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before Round 3 begins. Weather forecasts showing rain, wind, or extreme heat will influence scoring expectations and trader positioning. Injury announcements or withdrawal news for top contenders can dramatically alter the field composition and scoring dynamics. Course setup changes, pin placements, or rough conditions disclosed by tournament officials may also trigger repricing. Additionally, performance in Rounds 1 and 2 will provide real data on how the course is playing, prompting traders to adjust their predictions accordingly.