TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 3:12 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether any golfer will shoot an exceptionally low score during the second round of the 2026 Travelers Championship. Each market represents a progressively lower scoring threshold, from under 65.5 strokes down to under 60.5 strokes, reflecting increasingly rare and impressive performances on the course.
Resolution across all markets depends on whether any golfer achieves a round score below the specified threshold during Round 2 of the 2026 Travelers Championship. Each market establishes a distinct scoring benchmark: under 65.5, under 64.5, under 63.5, under 62.5, under 61.5, or under 60.5 strokes. For any score to qualify for resolution purposes, the golfer must complete all 18 holes in an official regulation round. A Yes resolution occurs if at least one golfer meets or exceeds the performance level required by that particular market's threshold. These markets collectively measure the likelihood of exceptional scoring performances at varying difficulty levels throughout the tournament's second round.
Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they aggregate real-time trader sentiment rather than relying on a fixed oddsmaking operation. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance their books and manage liability, while prediction markets like this one allow participants to continuously buy and sell positions based on their own analysis. The two pricing mechanisms can reveal different risk assessments, making prediction market odds a useful independent signal for comparing against established betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for contracts tied to specific golfers' round two scores. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract's price reflects the cumulative belief of all active traders about that player's likelihood of posting the lowest score. As new trades execute, prices update instantly, and you can monitor the full depth of buy and sell interest to gauge conviction levels across different outcomes.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the Travelers Championship Round 2 is complete and final scoring is confirmed. The outcome is determined by verifying which golfer recorded the lowest score during the second round against credible public sources and official tournament records. Once the result is established and confirmed, the market settles and all positions are paid out according to the winning outcome.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Round one performance and leaderboard position often influence expectations for round two scoring. Weather conditions, course setup changes, and player injury reports can all trigger repricing. Media commentary about player form and momentum, combined with real-time updates during round two itself, will drive active trading. Late-breaking news about course difficulty or player withdrawals may also create sudden volatility in trader positioning.