TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Travelers Championship End of Round 1 Leader
kalshi

Travelers Championship End of Round 1 Leader

Volume:
$11,538,721

Eric Cole

 - Kalshi

Eric Cole - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 6:46 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Eric Cole

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,359,460
N/A
N/A
$638,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Scottie Scheffler

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,257,763
N/A
N/A
$748,058
Settled
No
kalshi

Tom Hoge

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$526,241
N/A
N/A
$454,977
Settled
No
kalshi

Matt Fitzpatrick

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$476,291
N/A
N/A
$351,808
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Burns

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$403,018
N/A
N/A
$336,375
Settled
No
kalshi

Akshay Bhatia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$359,679
N/A
N/A
$309,076
Settled
No
kalshi

Brian Harman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$353,344
N/A
N/A
$257,539
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Griffin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$332,293
N/A
N/A
$254,247
Settled
No
kalshi

Nicolas Echavarria

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$305,847
N/A
N/A
$285,942
Settled
No
kalshi

Sungjae Im

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$284,949
N/A
N/A
$265,427
Settled
No
kalshi

Wyndham Clark

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$284,224
N/A
N/A
$269,071
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Rose

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$260,823
N/A
N/A
$154,073
Settled
No
kalshi

Nick Taylor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$229,354
N/A
N/A
$182,871
Settled
No
kalshi

Benjamin James

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$221,517
N/A
N/A
$212,109
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Thomas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$193,899
N/A
N/A
$178,957
Settled
No
kalshi

Keegan Bradley

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$191,740
N/A
N/A
$156,335
Settled
No
kalshi

Bud Cauley

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$191,392
N/A
N/A
$130,834
Settled
No
kalshi

Russell Henley

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$174,095
N/A
N/A
$126,119
Settled
No
kalshi

Tommy Fleetwood

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$168,586
N/A
N/A
$158,974
Settled
No
kalshi

Ludvig Aberg

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$153,746
N/A
N/A
$146,976
Settled
No
kalshi

Sahith Theegala

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$147,926
N/A
N/A
$147,108
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Rai

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$140,484
N/A
N/A
$134,300
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Young

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$139,788
N/A
N/A
$124,446
Settled
No
kalshi

Mac Meissner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$133,811
N/A
N/A
$102,076
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Fox

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$126,017
N/A
N/A
$122,600
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 72

Intro

This market tracks who will hold the lowest score after the first 18 holes of the 2026 Travelers Championship. On Kalshi, Eric Cole leads at 99.1% to be the Round 1 leader, with Nicolas Echavarria at 1.0%. The resolution source is the official leaderboard from the 2026 Travelers Championship. Watch for the completion of Round 1 play on July 12, 2026, when the first-round leader will be determined and the market will settle.

Kalshi

Each market resolves Yes if the specified golfer is the sole leader at the end of Round 1. If multiple golfers are tied for the lead, all tied golfers' Yes positions pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N equals the number of tied participants. No positions pay 1 minus the Yes payout. This fractional payout structure ensures fair compensation when ties occur.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Travelers Championship Round 1 leader market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for predicting who will hold the lead after the first round of this PGA Tour event. The interface displays current market pricing, 24-hour volume activity, and outcome probabilities as traders buy and sell shares reflecting their expectations. This dashboard lets you monitor how sentiment shifts as tournament play unfolds and new information emerges, giving you a live window into collective forecasting on the short_topic.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader supply and demand. This market reflects real-time belief about who will lead after Round 1, without the built-in vig or promotional adjustments typical of traditional sports betting. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment on the tournament diverges from bookmaker pricing.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares tied to each potential Round 1 leader outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the probability traders assign to that golfer finishing the round in the lead. As new information arrives—course conditions, player performance, injury reports—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to evolving expectations throughout the tournament.

This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the first round of the Travelers Championship concludes and the leaderboard is finalized. The outcome is determined by identifying which golfer holds the lead at the end of Round 1, verified against credible public sources including official PGA Tour reporting. Early resolution may occur if the tournament structure or scheduling changes, but the standard expectation is resolution shortly after play ends and scores are confirmed.

Several factors can shift this market significantly before Round 1 concludes. Live scoring updates throughout the day will drive the most immediate price swings as leaders emerge and fall back. Weather changes, unexpected player withdrawals or injuries, and course setup adjustments can all reshape expectations. Pre-tournament news—recent form, equipment changes, or caddie announcements—may also influence trader positioning. As the round progresses, the market will increasingly reflect actual performance, with late-round surges or collapses creating final volatility before settlement.