TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 2:16 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game between Tranmere Rovers FC and Rochdale AFC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Rochdale AFC match originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game between Tranmere Rovers FC and Rochdale AFC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Rochdale AFC match originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information and can adjust faster than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new data emerges closer to kickoff. For exact-score markets, prediction platforms often show wider outcome distributions than sportsbooks, which tend to focus on simpler bet types. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment and professional oddsmakers disagree.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares directly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact scoreline is represented as a separate contract, and the price of each reflects its implied probability based on trading demand. As traders place orders, the price adjusts dynamically to balance supply and demand across all possible outcomes. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trader conviction, with spreads tightening as volume increases and liquidity deepens around the most probable scorelines.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the match between Tranmere Rovers and Rochdale AFC concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular time, verified against credible public sources including official league records and reputable sports data providers. Traders holding shares in the correct exact-score outcome receive their payout once the result is locked in and the market settles. Early resolution is not typical unless the match is abandoned or rescheduled under exceptional circumstances.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before kickoff and during the match. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers repricing as traders reassess scoring likelihood. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions can influence expected goal output and thus the distribution of probable scorelines. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or substitutions will cause sharp moves as live information updates trader expectations. Betting syndicates and sharp money may also enter late, moving odds toward their proprietary models as match time approaches.