TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Trabzonspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor
kalshi
polymarket

Trabzonspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor

Volume:
$142,026

Trabzonspor

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 9:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Trabzonspor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$77,071
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trabzonspor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,640
N/A
N/A
$24,118
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Çaykur Rizespor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Rizespor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$941
N/A
N/A
$812
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Trabzonspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,260
N/A
N/A
$1,179
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Trabzonspor and Çaykur Rizespor scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the match outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically incomplete (all outcomes resolve Yes, creating an impossible tautology), and Polymarket's cancellation rules are internally contradictory across its three markets. Additionally, Polymarket's draw-market cancellation rule (resolves Yes) directly conflicts with its win-market rules (resolve No), making simultaneous settlement impossible.Hero tip: This divergence creates unresolvable settlement risk. Do not trade these markets until Kalshi clarifies its tautological structure and Polymarket reconciles its cancellation logic. If the match is canceled, Polymarket traders face a guaranteed loss on at least one market leg. Request explicit cancellation guidance from both platforms before March 14, 2026.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure states: 'If Trabzonspor wins... resolves to Yes. If Rizespor wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie... resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical tautology where all possible outcomes resolve Yes, making the market unresolvable. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided.
  • Polymarket: Three separate markets with conflicting cancellation rules: (1) Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup. (2) Trabzonspor win market resolves No if canceled with no makeup. (3) Rizespor win market resolves No if canceled with no makeup. Postponement keeps all markets open. This creates a logical impossibility where a single cancellation event produces contradictory resolutions across linked markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.