TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Toy Story 5 will achieve a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score above 45 at the time of resolution. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score as of June 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, the designated snapshot date for this market. Watch for the film's critical reception to solidify in the days immediately following its release, as early reviewer scores will establish the trajectory toward the 45-point threshold by the June 22 resolution deadline.
Resolution is determined by the Tomatometer score of Toy Story 5 as recorded on June 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, the Monday after wide release. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific threshold: the score must exceed the stated value to resolve as Yes (for example, a score of 75 resolves "Above 75" as No, not Yes). The Tomatometer score is the sole determinant; illustrative labels such as "Fresh!" or "Certified Fresh!" are for reference only and do not affect resolution.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader expectations for the "Toy Story 5" Rotten Tomatoes score, which often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and early critical reviews. While film critics and industry analysts may issue preliminary scores based on festival screenings or advance press, prediction markets aggregate the collective judgment of traders betting on the final aggregate score. Comparing market-implied odds to published analyst sentiment can reveal whether traders expect the film to outperform or underperform critical consensus.
The "Toy Story 5" Rotten Tomatoes score market resolves on Jun 22, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final Rotten Tomatoes aggregate score published on the platform after the film's wide release and the accumulation of sufficient critic reviews. Resolution depends on the official Rotten Tomatoes methodology and the number of reviews required to establish a definitive score. Traders should monitor the film's release date and critical reception timeline to anticipate when the market will settle.
Several catalysts could shift market odds for the "Toy Story 5" Rotten Tomatoes score. Early festival screenings or critic previews will provide initial quality signals, moving prices based on emerging reviews. The film's official release date and opening weekend critical reception will be major inflection points. Director statements, cast interviews, and production updates can also influence trader sentiment about the film's likely critical reception. As review aggregation accelerates post-release, the market will converge toward the final Rotten Tomatoes score, with each new batch of reviews potentially moving prices.