TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 5:29 PM EST
Kalshi
A group of attacking players from a national team compete in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with outcomes tracked at successive goal thresholds ranging from moderate to high scoring contributions.
The combined goal total for Lamine Yamal, Nico Williams, and Mikel Oyarzabal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup determines resolution across multiple thresholds. Goals scored during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time are included in the combined total. Goals scored during penalty shootouts do not count. Each market resolves to Yes if the combined group reaches or exceeds its specified threshold: 3 or more goals, 4 or more goals, 5 or more goals, 6 or more goals, 7 or more goals, 8 or more goals, 9 or more goals, 10 or more goals, 11 or more goals, 12 or more goals, 13 or more goals, or 14 or more goals.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi for Tournament Goals: Yamal + Williams + Oyarzabal often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds more slowly and build in a vigorish, while prediction markets update continuously as new information emerges. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the market is pricing this combined goals outcome as more or less likely than conventional betting venues.
Tournament Goals: Yamal + Williams + Oyarzabal is priced on Kalshi as a binary contract reflecting whether all three players—Yamal, Williams, and Oyarzabal—will score during the tournament. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract trades between 0 and 100 cents, with the current price representing the collective market estimate of that outcome. Traders buy at the ask if bullish on the combined goals scenario or sell at the bid if bearish, with payoff determined at resolution on Jul 20, 2026.
Key catalysts for Tournament Goals: Yamal + Williams + Oyarzabal include team lineups and injury announcements, which affect playing time and scoring opportunity for each player. Match results and goal-scoring form during early tournament rounds will shift trader conviction about whether all three will score. Tactical changes, substitution patterns, and head-to-head matchups also influence perceived likelihood. Any public statements about player fitness or squad rotation could trigger sharp repricing on Kalshi.