TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 6:29 PM EST
Kalshi
A group of attacking players from a national team compete in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with outcomes tracked at successive goal thresholds ranging from moderate to high scoring contributions.
The combined goal total for Neymar, Raphinha, and Vinicius Junior during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup determines resolution across multiple thresholds. Goals scored during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time are included in the combined total. Goals scored during penalty shootouts do not count. Each market resolves to Yes if the combined group reaches or exceeds its specified threshold: 3 or more goals, 4 or more goals, 5 or more goals, 6 or more goals, 7 or more goals, 8 or more goals, 9 or more goals, 10 or more goals, 11 or more goals, or 12 or more goals.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets respond dynamically to supply and demand. For the Tournament Goals: Neymar + Raphinha + Vini Jr. event, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook offerings can reveal whether the market is pricing this outcome more optimistically or conservatively. These differences create opportunities for informed bettors to identify value.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Tournament Goals: Neymar + Raphinha + Vini Jr. market is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. The price of each share reflects the implied probability, ranging from 0 to 100 cents. As new information emerges about player form, injuries, or tournament developments, Kalshi traders adjust their bids and asks, moving the price in real time. The spread between buy and sell prices typically tightens as the event approaches and more capital flows into the market.
The Tournament Goals: Neymar + Raphinha + Vini Jr. market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by the combined goal tally for Neymar, Raphinha, and Vini Jr. throughout the tournament period. The specific threshold and outcome criteria are established at market creation and verified against official tournament records. Once the tournament concludes and final goal counts are confirmed, the market settles based on whether the combined total meets or exceeds the predetermined target.
Several catalysts could shift odds for Tournament Goals: Neymar + Raphinha + Vini Jr. before resolution. Injury announcements or fitness updates for any of the three players would significantly impact expectations. Early tournament performance, including goals scored in group matches, provides concrete data that traders use to reassess probabilities. Team tactical changes, coaching decisions, or lineup rotations affecting playing time could also move the market. Additionally, tournament progression and opponent strength in knockout stages influence how many goals these players are likely to score in remaining matches.