TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 6:49 PM EST
Kalshi
A group of attacking players from a national team compete in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with outcomes tracked at successive goal thresholds ranging from moderate to high scoring contributions.
Resolution is determined by the total goals scored by Kylian Mbappe, Desire Doue, and Michael Olise combined during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Goals count if scored during regulation time, stoppage time, or extra time. Goals scored during penalty shootouts are excluded from the tally. Each threshold (3+, 4+, 5+, 6+, 7+, 8+, 9+, 10+, 11+, 12+, 13+, or 14+ combined goals) represents a separate market outcome.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust for profit margins and manage liability, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants. For Tournament Goals: Mbappe + Doue + Olise, the Kalshi price may move faster in response to team news, injury updates, or lineup announcements than sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can reveal value opportunities, though prediction markets typically offer tighter spreads and more granular pricing as the tournament approaches.
Tournament Goals: Mbappe + Doue + Olise is priced on Kalshi as a binary contract reflecting whether all three players score during the tournament. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the market's implied probability, ranging from 0 to 100 cents per share. Traders buy shares if they believe the outcome is more likely than the current price suggests, or sell if they think it is less likely. Kalshi's continuous order book allows prices to adjust in real time based on supply and demand, with each trade updating the market consensus through Jul 20, 2026.
The Tournament Goals: Mbappe + Doue + Olise market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by official tournament records documenting whether each of the three named players scores at least one goal during the competition. The outcome depends on verified goal tallies from the tournament's governing body and official match records. Once the tournament concludes and final statistics are confirmed, the market settles based on whether the combined condition is met, and traders receive payouts accordingly.
Key catalysts for this market include team lineup announcements, injury reports affecting any of the three players, and their actual performance during tournament matches. Early goals or assists by Mbappe, Doue, or Olise will increase the probability of resolution. Conversely, injuries, reduced playing time, or tactical changes that limit their scoring opportunities will decrease it. Tournament progression, group-stage results, and knockout advancement also influence expected minutes and scoring chances. Media coverage of form, confidence, and team strategy can shift trader sentiment before and during the tournament leading to Jul 20, 2026.