TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 5:55 PM EST
Kalshi
A group of attacking and midfield players from a national team compete in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with outcomes tracked at successive goal thresholds ranging from moderate to high scoring contributions.
Resolution is determined by the total goals scored by Harry Kane, Bukayo Saka, and Jude Bellingham combined during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Goals count if scored during regulation time, stoppage time, or extra time. Goals scored during penalty shootouts are excluded from the tally. Each threshold (3+, 4+, 5+, 6+, 7+, 8+, 9+, 10+, 11+, or 12+ combined goals) represents a separate market outcome.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed bookmaker pricing. Sportsbooks adjust odds to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from thousands of independent traders. For Tournament Goals: Kane + Saka + Bellingham, the Kalshi market may price player injury risk, recent form, and tactical lineup changes faster than sportsbooks update their lines. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd on Kalshi is more bullish or bearish than professional oddsmakers on this three-player goals outcome.
Tournament Goals: Kane + Saka + Bellingham is priced on Kalshi as a binary contract reflecting whether all three players will score during the tournament. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the market's implied probability. As new information arrives—injuries, lineup announcements, or match results—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up if they believe the outcome is more likely or down if they see it as less probable. The contract settles at expiration based on official tournament records of goals scored by each player.
The Tournament Goals: Kane + Saka + Bellingham market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by official tournament records documenting whether Kane, Saka, and Bellingham each scored at least one goal during the tournament window. The outcome depends on verified goal tallies from the governing tournament body, with no retroactive adjustments after the final whistle of the last relevant match. Traders should monitor official sources for final goal counts to understand how the market will settle.
Key catalysts for Tournament Goals: Kane + Saka + Bellingham include player injuries or fitness updates that affect availability, team lineup announcements revealing starting status, and early tournament match results showing goal-scoring form. Tactical changes by coaches, suspension news, or trades during the tournament window can shift expectations. International team performance and group-stage outcomes also influence playing time and motivation. Real-time match events—such as a player scoring early or being substituted—will trigger immediate repricing. Media reports on player confidence, form, or role changes will drive trader sentiment and move the market price throughout the tournament.