TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 5:55 PM EST
Kalshi
A group of attacking players from different national teams compete in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with outcomes tracked at successive goal thresholds ranging from moderate to high scoring contributions.
Resolution is determined by the total goals scored by Harry Kane, Ousmane Dembele, and Erling Haaland combined during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Goals count if scored during regulation time, stoppage time, or extra time. Goals scored during penalty shootouts are excluded from the tally. Each threshold (3+, 4+, 5+, 6+, 7+, 8+, 9+, 10+, 11+, or 12+ combined goals) represents a separate market outcome.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets price based on continuous trading by informed participants. For the Tournament Goals: Kane + Dembele + Haaland event, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the market is pricing in different assumptions about player availability, form, or tactical deployment. Prediction markets may react faster to breaking news than sportsbooks update their lines.
On Kalshi, the Tournament Goals: Kane + Dembele + Haaland contract is priced as a binary outcome, with the current implied probability reflected in the bid-ask spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares based on their belief in whether all three players will meet the combined goals threshold by the tournament end. Kalshi's order book shows real-time liquidity and depth, allowing you to see how much volume exists at each price level. The market price continuously adjusts as new trades execute, incorporating updated assessments of player performance and team strategies throughout the tournament.
The Tournament Goals: Kane + Dembele + Haaland market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final goal tallies for Harry Kane, Ousmane Dembele, and Erling Haaland across all tournament matches in which they participate. The outcome depends on whether their combined goals meet or exceed the specified threshold. Official tournament records and governing body statistics serve as the authoritative source for settlement. Once the tournament concludes and final statistics are confirmed, the market will settle accordingly.
Key catalysts include player injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes that affect playing time for Kane, Dembele, or Haaland. Team tactical shifts, managerial decisions, and tournament advancement or elimination rounds will influence their goal-scoring opportunities. Strong individual performances in early matches can boost confidence in the outcome, while poor form or defensive focus may reduce expectations. International team dynamics, weather conditions, and opponent strength also matter. Breaking news about player fitness, transfers, or tournament format changes could trigger significant price movements on Kalshi as traders reassess the probability before Jul 20, 2026.