TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 5:55 PM EST
Kalshi
A group of attacking players from different national teams compete in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with outcomes tracked at successive goal thresholds ranging from low to moderate scoring contributions.
This event comprises seven separate markets tracking cumulative goal thresholds (1+, 2+, 3+, 4+, 5+, 6+, 7+, and 8+ goals) scored by the combined group of Folarin Balogun, Ricardo Pepi, and Haji Wright during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Goals are counted during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time. Goals scored during penalty shootouts are excluded from the tally. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified threshold is met or exceeded by the group's combined total. The markets are mutually exclusive in outcome but cumulative in structure—for example, if the group scores 3 goals total, all markets from 1+ through 3+ resolve to Yes, while 4+, 5+, 6+, 7+, and 8+ resolve to No.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically build in a 4–5% edge and adjust lines to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate dispersed beliefs through continuous trading. For this three-player goals market, Kalshi odds may price in sharper injury updates, recent form, or lineup changes faster than some sportsbooks, though direct comparison depends on which book you reference and current market conditions.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Tournament Goals: Balogun + Pepi + Wright contract is priced as a binary outcome, with traders buying or selling shares that settle to 100 or 0 based on whether the combined goal condition is met. The current price reflects the collective belief of Kalshi traders about the likelihood of Balogun, Pepi, and Wright reaching the target. Prices move continuously as new information emerges, tournament rosters are finalized, and player fitness updates become available, allowing traders to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
The Tournament Goals: Balogun + Pepi + Wright market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final combined goal tally for all three players across the tournament period. The specific threshold and any adjustments for injuries, substitutions, or eligibility are set by the market creator and will be applied at settlement. Traders should review the full market terms to understand exactly which competitions and time windows count toward the final outcome.
Key catalysts for price movement include official tournament roster announcements, team lineup changes, and injury reports affecting Balogun, Pepi, or Wright. Playing time allocation, coaching decisions, and group-stage matchups will influence perceived goal-scoring opportunities. International form trends, recent club performance, and any late withdrawals or substitutions can shift trader conviction significantly. Additionally, early tournament results and goal-scoring patterns by these players will provide real data that updates market expectations as the event progresses toward Jul 20, 2026.